2009 HiMCM A题特等奖学生论文下载2461
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论文摘要如下:
12th?Annual?High?School?Mathematical?Contest?in?Modeling?(HiMCM)
Summary?Sheet
(Please?attach?a?copy?of?this?page?to?each?copy?of?your?Solution?Paper.)
Team?Control?Number: 2461 Problem?Chosen: A
Please?type?a?summary?of?your?results?on?this?page.?Please?remember?not?to?include?the name?of?your?school,?advisor, or?team members on?this?page.
Our?objective?is?to?devise?an?effective, feasible, cost-efficient national?water?strategy?to?meet? the?projected?needs?of?the United States?in 2025.?Thus,?we?first?created?a?mathematical?model? to?project?the?demand?for?fresh?water in?the?United?States?in?2025, basing our?projected?needs? on?current?trends?in?eight?major?categories?of?fresh?water?usage,?namely?public?water,? domestic, irrigation,?livestock,?aquaculture,?industrial,?mining,?and?thermoelectric-power? generation.?We?then?devised?a?cost-efficient?and plausible?national?water?strategy?in?which?we? can?meet?the?2025?projected?water?needs of?the?United?States?through storage, movement,? desalinization,?and?the?reduction?in?consumption?of?our?water?resources.?Within?our?paper,? part?1?addresses?the projected growth?in?the?demand?for?water?due?to?the?growth?in?U.S? population,?energy?demand,?and?industries,?while?parts?2-6 of the model?addresses?our? national?water?strategy?and?details?illustrating?how?our?strategy?will?create?a?sustainable?water? usage plan?for the?years?2010?to?2025.
For?our?projection?model,?we?considered?current?trends?in?the?eight?main?categories?of?the? total?fresh?water?usage?as?recorded by the United?States?Geological?Survey.?The?eight?main? categories?were?public?water,?domestic,?irrigation,?livestock, aquaculture, industrial, mining,? and?thermoelectric-power?generation.?We?created?regression?curves?of?the?data?given?by?the? USGS?for?each?of?the eight categories.?We?then?summed?up?the?projected?2025?fresh?water? usage?from?each?of?the?eight?categories?to obtain?a?total?fresh water?usage?graph?which? projected?the?total?United?States?fresh?water?usage?in?2025.
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