2010 HiMCM B题特等奖学生论文下载2561
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论文摘要如下:
Problem?summary
Many?people?who?have?never?lived?in?urban?areas?would?associate?terms such?as?boisterous,?glorifying and?inspirational?with?the word “city”.?However,?in? their?picture‐perfect?image?of?what?a?city?should?look?like,?these?people?have? failed?to?understand?the dangerous?world?that?is?carried?out?under?the?radar— the?world?of?crime.?Therefore,?for?everyone’s?benefit,?we?need?to?be?able?to? understand?why?people?commit?these?crimes?in?order?to?stop?them,?by?looking?at? statistics?and?analyzing?them?through math models. This?way,?we?can? mathematically?find?ways?to?campaign?a?strategy?that?will?curb?the?violence?for? the?mayor.
Assumptions
? Unemployment?is?cyclical,?because?it?is?cyclical?in?the?short‐term.? Therefore,?we?assumed?that?it?was?cyclical?in?the?long term, which is backed?by?economic?theory.
? Graduation?rate,?county?population?and?parole?violations?are?causative? factors?without?any?other variables,?because it’s?possible to create? common?sense?explanations?of?why?they?would?increase/decrease.?Also,? there?are?no?known?variables?that?would infect?the data.
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